Pick a question. Make your call.
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What changed, and which way it points.
Each insight will link to its cited source and the question it affects. Myra summarises evidence; it doesn't predict the answer for you. Evidence summaries appear here once Myra has checked sources for open questions.
Track every call and see how you improve.
My Predictions keeps your forecasts, the questions you follow, new evidence and results in one place.
Example layout. Sign in to track your own predictions.
How accuracy is scored+
YES at 70% sure means a 0.70 chance of YES. You can update it any time before voting closes. A vote without a % counts toward the crowd but not your accuracy.
Each day's forecast gets a Brier score (p − outcome)². Your result is the average of those daily scores, so early, independent calls count.
Multi-outcome scores are scaled to the same 0–1 range as YES/NO. Lower is better; a 50/50 guess scores 0.25.
Make your first three predictions.
Free, no money involved, and your forecasts stay private unless you choose to share them.